2012-12-01
2012-12-31
x citi

STATION
CNBC 9
MSNBCW 1
WRC 1
LANGUAGE
English 11

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. these are your headlines from around the world -- >> opec ministers expect to agree on keeping their output target. talks about the level of u.s. production, rivalries between iran and saudi arabia, and a new secretary general could get heated. >>> italy likely to see a strong uptai uptake thanks to supply reductions before year end. >>> and let's twist again. the fed set to announce a fresh around of bond purchases to match the outgoing twist program at the end of the year. >>> the international community blasts north korea after it successfully launches a long-range rocket, prompting an emergency u.n. security council meeting. >>> all right. a very good morning to you. we are going to be on to opec later. we've got the latest i.a. data out this morning. they're saying global oil demand projected around 90.5 million barrels a day. more than forecast. they say non-opec production bouncing back. an something bit. they're saying opec crude supply inched up in november led by higher output from saudi arabia. >> i think we'll have to call this today the case of the two oil reports. we have the

per barrel. that's just about where opec members want them. opec will be meeting tomorrow to see who will publicly lead the group. joining us for , zendana hari. good morning. what are your expectations for this meeting? >> we aren't expecting any major surprises so far based on what the ministers coming into the meeting have been saying publicly and even privately. officially, opec will stick to its 30 million a day barrel target. that covers all the members of the group. that would be actually production has been consistently higher ever since this target wab set. almost 1.1 million barrels above the target is what opec has cut into producing. >> heading into a meeting like this, incident isn't just about the supply, it's about demand. we've seen some softening in global production. how much will these countries have to produce next year? is it going to be a demand story ultimately as we look at global growth or is it going to be a supply story, about the middle east and where the flow is actually coming from? >> i think it will be a supply story. we saw entire libyan production ou

with all the tension going on at the opec meeting in vienna now. you know, wti higher by 41 cents. 86.20 per barrel. london, 108.53. a gain of.5%. the treasuries and ten-year yield now is -- very close to 1.7%. decline of 1/8 point. the dollar is mixed across the board. 82.84 for every dollar. the pound would cost you $1.61. the price of gold this hour is higher by $5.20. a gain of .3%, 1,714 per ounce. time for the global markets report. kelly evans is standing by in london. >> michelle, hello. >> you might be here 12-12-2110. >> i think the date is 1221? today is 12-12. 12-21 it when the world ends. i think we've only got nine days left of the global market report. >> i'm worried about the fiscal cliff -- once we get the world -- which is worse? the world ending or the fiscal cliff? >> about the same i think. >> one could bring about the other. >> i think it's no accident they're both approaching. that's how i'm going to read the tea leaves. as you see, a mixed picture this morning. people mostly waiting on the fed decision later today. the major boards green, the ftse adding .25%.

intellectual, too. >> opec and the fed, hey, u.s. production up. let's go to sharon epperson at the nymex. >> oil has really been on the move since the open a few minutes ago. not so much opec, which still packed with the current quota around 30 million barrels per day, it is producing more than that. but we are hearing, of course, from opec itself that saudi arabia has reduced its production in november to the lowest level in a year. so that seems to be a way that they will adhere closer to the current quota. we're also looking at the latest report from the international energy agency which may have more of an impact where oil prices are going in this session. they're looking for slightly demand in 2013. and they're pointing to china for the reason. we're anticipating we'll get the report from the energy department at 10:30 a.m. on oil supplies. the expectation is for a slight decline in food supplies. but we did see a major build in the industry report, if that is confirmed we could see these gains short-lived. back to you. >> all right. thank you very much, sharon epperson. we've got a

.s. to be north american oil independent. and fundamentally what that means is we won't be relying on opec oil imports by 2020. we're going to rely on canadian imports plus burgeoning u.s. production. that is a major major change in the united states energy picture. >> now mark, one of the things that i've learned from you is that the numbers that we often see are radically understated. the government will put out numbers. it seems like every time they put out numbers they're well behind. what is the disconnect between the numbers that we see officially and what's really going on in the oil patch? and why don't people realize how quickly this change is occurring? >> yes. the dynamic of the change is one that's easy to underestimate. in fact, eog has really underestimated the dynamic of the change. we've raised our production growth forecast for oil three times this year. and that's not because we've been coy with wall street. it's really because we've underappreciated the power of some of these plays. you mentioned earlier for example this eagle ford play, we think that just eog's net of oil d

on the throne. her diamond jubilee marked the beginning of britain taking center stage. and at the london opec the queen had a starring role. >> good evening. >> good evening, your majesty. >> reporter: the queen shows little sign of slowing down,y about her oldest grandson now has to choose between his job as a helicopter pilot and becoming a full-time royal. >> the queen at 86, of course, is key for prince william to get more involved in the workings of the royal family. >> reporter: we know prince william will definitely have a new role in 2013. he'll become a dad. whatever the coming year brings for the royals, there will be at least one reason to celebrate. for "today," nbc news, london. >> it has been an amazing year for them. although the james bond image, the first that comes in my mind now. >> oh, from the -- >> whenever i see -- >> the queen. i loved it. it was cute. getting a little bit more life out of him there. fun. >>> up next, from "call me maybe" to "gangnam style" the lo year in social media. first these messages. ♪ ♪ spread a little love my way ♪ spread a little someth

is happening with today but of course what oil traders are looking for in the week ahead. we have opec meeting on wednesday, which could certainly add to the price volatility and price reaction there as well as whatever happens with the fed. back to you. >> thank you very much, sharon epperson. the big jobs report shows 146,000 jobs were created last month so we asked did you nail the number? all this week we asked you to tweet us your predictions for the november nonfarm payrolls figure. right now the "squawk on the street" team is going through the entries. the locucky winner will receiven oof autographed picture frame. good luck. >> i did not guess well. i thought sandy would have more of an effect. >> where would numbers be without sandy? would we have done 200? >> more economic data on wall street's radar this morning and minutes away from break news on consumer sentiment at 9:55. don't go away. ♪ >> announcer: coming up, cramer is kicking it into high gear. his six stocks in 60 seconds will energize all of us. get your jim jolt when "squawk on the street" returns. try running four.ning

. >>> an oh beck minister, important events. opec ministers are in vienna. >> why vienna, by the way? >> i don't know why they originally set it there, but it seems like as good a place as any. have you been? >> i have not been. >> i don't think i've ever been to vienna. i always wondered about that. >> i mean, it's better than meeting in, i don't know, skokie, right? they're expected to retain its 28 million barrel a day output target. but the real drama is likely to be about leadership, the world's leading oil exporters are expected to argue about who should be opec's next secretary general and we have candidates from iran, iraq and saudi ara a arabia. they're all competing to replace the current leader, as you can see there. abdallah salem el badri, he's 72 years old and he's been there for years. i don't know where i've been for five years, but did you know -- >> i apologize in advance. i didn't. >> you could have said you did and we've been best friends, in fact. >> he's completely changed the entire operation. anyway, did a great job. >> in global market news this morning, stocks in asi

supply among a number of non-opec countries. you see the u.s. obliterating the rest of the world. employment des moinin oil and gd to the highest level in 1992. we still provide a tiny sliver just under 200,000. the net oil imports are craters and a now a number of analysts predict in the near future the u.s. is producing more oil than any other country in the world. by round 2020 a recent international agency reports that the u.s. is predicted to become the largest oil producer and starts to see the impact of new fuel efficiency measures and transport. it results in a continued fall in u.s. imports to the extend that north america is a net oil exporter around 2030. yes, that's right. the united states, which is according to the spokes people from the coal industry already the saudi arabia of coal, which is now essentially tied with russia as the single largest producer of natural gas in the world could find itself the world's biggest oil producer on a consistent basis for the first time since the first half of the 20th century. in energy circles you hear the phrase saudi america

pointing going into 1q, the reason, it sort of rhymes in the spirit of the season. you have non-opec demand growing, global demand slowing, it's not snowing, and down is where we're going. the next big data point is probably the iaea report in february. and if that implicates more progress toward an iranian bomb, there's significant risk to look to the upside. in the meantime, you have a lot of other issues beyond the fiscal cliff. debt ceiling issues, if not resolved in the negotiation looming. and relatively long stocks here in the u.s. perhaps the most interesting part, becky, is to look at the convergence between light and heavy grades here in north america. we have a lot of light oil. and we're actually potentially short of heavy oil. so seeing convergence within that downward trend means there could be a bid for heavier. >> you would guess that would certainly hurt demand. >> sure. offsetting weakness in the dollar would lift the crude price based on historical trends, of course. yeah, it would be a significant blow, and when we're looking at 370 plus barrels of commercial inventories

's where crude oil breaks out to the upside. we start to get an upward trend. opec's 2013 target is around $100. i think we'll move up into the mid-90s and probably press through that $100. one of the burdens we have is we do have an abundance of supply in the u.s. the u.s. won't export any crude oil, but i think the possibility of us starting to consume more, would drive and help support those higher prices. >> when you put on those longs, i'm wondering, because this week is a holiday shortened week. congress is coming back on the 27th. is this a trade for 2013? >> yeah, it is more of a trade for 2013. i wiould start to look at fartherer out contracts, to like december 2013, and play the entire year's action, just by being long that one contract. but i would strongly wait until after the beginning of the year, because of the weaker volume, the lack of participants. and i think that the price is really going to shop around. >> nat gas prices taking a step back. what do you see in the immediate future and what is the main catalyst here? the weather seems to be sort of calm. >> yeah. that's

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